Politics & International Studies

US Presidential Polls: Trump or Biden, India’s Stakes Are Higher Than Ever

US Presidential Polls: Trump or Biden, India's Stakes Are Higher Than Ever
U.S. President Joe Biden and Former President Donald Trump | Pic Credit : Charly Triballeau/AFP/Getty Images/Evan Vucci/AP

That India is a natural partner for the US is an opinion endorsed by current US politicians across the political divide.


Elizabeth Roche, Associate Professor, Jindal School of International Affairs, O.P. Jindal Global University, Sonipat, Haryana, India.


Scores of countries around the world are set to go to polls this year. The most consequential elections among those, to my mind however, will be the one in November in the US, given the global pre-eminence of the country.

Last month, it became clear that the 2024 US election will be fought between the incumbent president, Joe Biden of the Democratic Party, and Donald Trump, the opposition Republican Party nominee. Robert Kennedy Jr is not being seen as a serious contender, though the worry is that he may eat into Biden’s votes. Opinion polls show that Trump has a slight edge, but predicting who will be the President of the United States is an exercise fraught with danger.

An Inflexion Point For The World

These polls, however, come at a major inflexion point globally. There are the Russia-Ukraine and Gaza wars for one, and attendant secondary problems like the shortage of food, fuel and fertilizer, and the Houthi rebels targeting shipping in the Red Sea. The unpredictability of China and its Taiwan posturing add to the uncertainties, as does Beijing’s desire to redraw the global architecture. On the economic front, the International Monetary Fund predicts that the growth momentum will remain “tepid” in 2024.

Published in: NDTV

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